Predictors of moderate-to-severe side-effects following COVID-19 mRNA booster vaccination: A prospective cohort study among primary health care providers in Belgium. (preprint)

Background COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness declines months after vaccination. Therefore, it is likely that during the next few years, people may be repeatedly offered a booster vaccine to enhance humoral immunity levels. A growing number of people are questioning whether the benefits of a booster vaccine outweigh the side-effects.Objective This study aims (1) to identify the most frequently reported side-effects after different doses of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines, (2) and the longest lasting symptoms; and (3) to predict the likelihood of having moderate-to-severe side-effects after a booster COVID-19 mRNA vaccine given individual- and vaccine-specific characteristics.Design, setting, and participants : Secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study in primary health care providers (PHCPs) in Belgium conducted between December 2020 and December 2021, and in February-March 2023.Methods In nine subsequent surveys over a period of 2 years vaccine dose-number and side-effects after COVID-19 vaccines were collected. A Generalized Estimation Equations approach on the data of the first and second booster dose was used to investigate the probability of having moderate-to-severe side-effects after mRNA booster vaccination. Predictive performance of a binary classifier was assessed by looking at discrimination (i.e., quantified in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve). The final prediction model was validated using data with regard to the third booster by assessing misclassification rate, sensitivity and specificity.Results In total, 11% of the PHCPs had moderate-to-severe side-effects after their booster COVID-19 mRNA vaccine. The most common side-effects of COVID-19 mRNA doses included fatigue, local pain at the injection site, general pains, and headache. These side-effects typically lasted for a median of 1 to 2 days. The final model included five predictors: sex, alcohol consumption, history of moderate-to-severe side-effects after any previous dose, recent COVID-19 infection, and the booster dose-number (first, second). Having experienced moderate-to-severe side-effects after any previous dose was the strongest predictor of moderate-to-severe side-effects following an mRNA vaccine booster, with an odds ratio (OR) of 3.64 (95% CI: 2.80–4.75). The OR for female sex was 1.49 (95% CI: 1.21–1.84) implying that females have a higher odds of moderate-to-severe side-effects following booster vaccination. The differences in effect for booster dose-number, alcohol consumption and recent COVID-19 infection was not significant.Conclusion and Relevance: COVID-19 mRNA booster vaccination implies a low prevalence of moderate-to-severe side-effects among PHCPs, with a short median duration of symptoms if any. The strongest predictors are a history of moderate-to-severe side-effects after any previous dose and being female. These reassuring findings can help addressing concerns about booster vaccination and encourage their uptake.Trial Registration: NCT04779424

The prevalence, incidence and longevity of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 among primary healthcare providers in Belgium: a prospective cohort study with 12 months of follow-up (preprint)

Objectives: To estimate the prevalence, incidence, and longevity of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 among primary healthcare providers (PHCPs). Design: Prospective cohort study with 12 months of follow-up. Setting: Primary care in Belgium Participants: Any general practitioner (GP) working in primary care in Belgium and any other PHCP from the same GP practice who physically manages (examines, tests, treats) patients were eligible. A convenience sample of 3,648 eligible PHCPs from 2,001 GP practices registered for this study (3,044 and 604 to start in December 2020 and January 2021, respectively). 3,390 PHCPs (92,9%) participated in their first testing timepoint (2,820 and 565, respectively) and 2,557 PHCPs (70,1%) in the last testing timepoint (December 2021). Interventions: Participants were asked to perform a rapid serological test (RST) targeting IgM and IgG against the receptor binding domain (RBD) of SARS-CoV-2 and to complete an online questionnaire at each of maximum 8 testing timepoints. Primary and secondary outcome measures: The prevalence, incidence, and longevity of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 both after natural infection and after vaccination. Results: Among all participants, 67% were women and 77% GPs. Median age was 43 years. The seroprevalence in December 2020 (before vaccination availability) was 15.1% (95% CI: 13.5% to 16.6%), increased to 84.2% (95% CI: 82.9% to 85.5%) in March 2021 (after vaccination availability) and reached 93.9% (95% CI: 92.9% to 94.9%) in December 2021 (during booster vaccination availability and fourth (delta variant dominant) covid wave). Among not (yet) vaccinated participants the first monthly incidence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 was estimated to be 2.91% (95% CI: 1.80% to 4.01%). The longevity of antibodies is higher in PHCPs with self-reported COVID-19 infection. Conclusions: This study confirms that occupational health measures provided sufficient protection when managing patients. High uptake of vaccination resulted in high seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in PHCPs in Belgium. Longevity of antibodies was supported by booster vaccination and virus circulation. Registration: Trial registration number: NCT04779424

Evaluation of a throat spray with lactobacilli in COVID-19 outpatients in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial for symptom and viral load reduction (preprint)

Objectives: Primary care urgently needs treatments for COVID-19 patients because current options are limited, while these patients account for more than 90% of the people infected with SARS-CoV-2. Methods: We evaluated a throat spray containing three Lactobacillaceae strains with broad antiviral properties in a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial. Seventy-eight eligible COVID-19 patients were randomized to verum (n=41) and placebo (n=37) within 96 hours of positive PCR-based SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis and per-protocol analysis was performed. Symptoms and severity were reported daily via an online diary. Combined nose-throat swabs and dried blood spots were collected at regular time points in the study. Results: The daily reported symptoms were highly variable, with no added benefit for symptom resolution in the verum group. Specific monitoring of the applied lactobacilli strains showed that they were detectable via microbiome (27%) and qPCR analysis (82%) of the verum group. Their relative abundances were also negatively correlated with the acute symptom score. At the end of the trial, a trend towards lower SARS-CoV-2 viral loads was observed for the verum group (2/30, 6.7% positive) compared to the placebo group (7/27, 26% positive) (p = 0.07). Conclusions: Despite a trend towards lower SARS-CoV-2 viral loads at the end of the trial and a negative correlation between relative abundances of the applied lactobacilli in the microbiome and acute symptoms, we did not observe a significant effect on overall symptom score for the verum group. This suggests that studies with earlier application of the spray in larger study populations are needed to further assess application potential.

Live biotherapeutic throat spray for respiratory virus inhibition and interferon pathway induction (preprint)

Respiratory viruses such as influenza viruses, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and coronaviruses initiate infection at the mucosal surfaces of the upper respiratory tract (URT), where the resident respiratory microbiome has an important gatekeeper function. In contrast to gut-targeting administration of beneficial bacteria against respiratory viral disease, topical URT administration of probiotics is currently underexplored, especially for the prevention and/or treatment of viral infections. Here, we report the selection and formulation of a broad-acting throat spray with live lactobacilli which induce interferon regulatory pathways and are able to inhibit respiratory viruses. Rational selection of Lactobacillaceae strains was based on safety, applicability, and potential antiviral and immunostimulatory efficacy in the URT. Three strains, Lacticaseibacillus casei AMBR2, Lacticaseibacillus rhamnosus GG and Lactiplantibacillus plantarum WCFS1 significantly reduced the cytopathogenic effects of RSV, influenza A/H1N1 and B viruses, and HCoV-229E coronavirus in co-culture models with bacteria, virus and host cells. Subsequently, these strains were formulated in a throat spray and human monocytes were employed to confirm the formulation process did not reduce the interferon regulatory pathway-inducing capacity. Administration of the throat spray in healthy volunteers revealed that the lactobacilli were capable of temporary colonization of the throat in a metabolically active form.

PREVALENCE AND INCIDENCE OF ANTIBODIES AGAINST SARS-COV-2 AMONG PRIMARY HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS IN BELGIUM DURING ONE YEAR OF THE COVID-19 EPIDEMIC: PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY PROTOCOL (preprint)

Introduction National severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seroprevalence data provides essential information about population exposure to the virus and helps predict the future course of the epidemic. Early cohort studies have suggested declines in levels of antibodies in individuals, associated with, for example, illness severity, age and co-morbidities. This protocol focuses on the seroprevalence among primary health care providers (PHCPs) in Belgium. They manage the vast majority of COVID-19 patients in addition to other patients and therefore play an essential role in the efficient organisation of health care. Currently, evidence is lacking on 1. how many PHCPs get infected with SARS-CoV-2 in Belgium, 2. the rate at which this happens, 3. their clinical spectrum, 4. their risk factors, 5. the effectiveness of the measures to prevent infection and 6. the accuracy of the serology-based point-of-care test in a primary care setting. Methods and analysis This study will be set up as a prospective cohort study. General practitioners (GPs) and other PHCPs (working in a GP practice) will be recruited via professional networks and professional media outlets to register online to participate. Registered GPs and other PHCPs will be asked at each testing point (n=9) to perform a capillary blood sample antibody point-of-care test (OrientGene) and complete an online questionnaire. The primary outcomes are the prevalence and incidence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in PHCPs during a 12-month follow-up period. Secondary outcomes include the longevity of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. Ethics and dissemination: Ethical approval has been granted by the Ethics Committee of the University Hospital Antwerp/University of Antwerp (Belgian registration number: 3002020000237). Alongside journal publications, dissemination activities include the publication of monthly reports to be shared with the participants and the general population through the publicly available website of the Belgian health authorities (Sciensano).

Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within households: a prospective cohort study in the Netherlands and Belgium - Interim results (preprint)

Background: Household transmission studies are useful to obtain granular data on SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics and to gain insight into the main determinants. In this interim report we investigated secondary attack rates (SAR) by household and subject characteristics in the Netherlands and Belgium. Methods: Households with a real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) confirmed SARS-CoV-2 index case were enrolled <48 hours following report of the positive test result. Daily symptom follow-up, standardized nose-throat sampling at enrollment and at new-onset acute respiratory illness (ARI) and paired dried blood spots (DBS) were collected from each participant. Children 0-2 years of age were additionally requested to collect a stool sample 7 days after enrollment and at new-onset of ARI. Swabs and stool samples were tested by RT-PCR for virus detection and DBS by multiplex protein microarray for detection of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. The SAR was calculated 1) per-household as the proportion of households with [≥]1 secondary SARS-CoV-2 case and 2) per-person as the probability of infection in household members at risk. We explored differences in SARs by household and subject characteristics. Results: This analysis includes 117 households that completed follow-up between April-December 2020. Among 382 subjects, 74 secondary infections were detected, of which 13 (17.6%) were asymptomatic and 20 (27.0%) infections were detected by seroconversion only. Of cases detected by RT-PCR, 50 (67.6%) were found at enrollment. The household SAR was 44.4% (95%-CI: 35.4-53.9%) and was higher for index cases meeting the ARI case definition (52.3%; 95%-CI 41.4-62.9%) compared to mildly symptomatic (22.2%; 95%-CI: 9.4-42.7%) and asymptomatic index cases (0.0%; 95%-CI: 0.0-80.2%). The per-person SAR was 27.9% (95%-CI: 22.7-33.8%). Transmission was lowest from child to parent (9.1%; 95%-CI: 2.4-25.5%) and highest from parent to child (28.1%; 95%-CI: 19.7-38.4%) and in children 6-12 years (34.2%; 95%-CI: 20.1-51.4%). Among 141 subjects with RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections, seroconversion was detected in 111 (78.7%). Conclusion: We found a high household SAR, with the large majority of transmissions detected early after identification of the index case. Our findings confirm differential SAR by symptom status of the index. In almost a quarter of RT-PCR positive cases, no antibodies were detected. Other factors influencing transmission will be further explored as more data accumulate.

Prospective SARS-CoV-2 cohort study among general practitioners during the second COVID-19 wave in Flanders, Belgium (preprint)

Primary health care providers (PHCPs), especially general practitioners (GPs) are essential to organise health care efficiently. During the COVID-19 pandemic, they also keep the pressure off hospitals. PHCPs are assumed to be at high risk of a COVID-19 infection, as they are exposed to a large portion of the population (usually with less personal protective equipment than other frontline health care workers(HCWs)). Nevertheless, previous seroprevalence studies focussed on the general population or HCWs in hospital settings, rather than PHCPs. The aim of this study was to determine the seroprevalence of PHCPs after the first and during the second SARS-CoV-2 wave in Flanders (Belgium) and compare it to the seroprevalence in the general population (blood donors). A prospective cohort of PHCPs, mainly GPs (n=698) was screened for IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 at five different time-points (June-December 2020). The dried blood spots they produced were analysed using a Luminex multiplex immunoassay. The seroprevalence of PHCPs remained stable between June and September 2020 (4.6-5.0%), but increased significantly from October to December (8.1-13.4%) 2020. The seroprevalence of PHCPs was not significantly higher than the seroprevalence of the blood donors at the end of December 2020. In conclusion, the sharp increase in seroprevalence during the second COVID-19 wave in Flanders shows that PHCPs were more at risk during the second wave compared to the first one. However, the increase was in line with the general population suggesting that PHCPs mainly got infected in their private settings.